Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 17Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Harksheide. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg?
Victoria Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harksheide have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Victoria Hamburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HT16(away) | 4-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harksheide win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Victoria Hamburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Harksheide 1-2 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 5-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 5-1 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Harksheide 2-4 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Victoria Hamburg 5-2 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Harksheide 3-0 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harksheide score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harksheide | 1.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harksheide sit 11th in Oberliga - Hamburg (45 points from 34 matches) and Victoria Hamburg sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Harksheide.
- Where and when is Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg played?
- Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg is played on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.