Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 17Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, Norderstedt
The Footlab AI model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Harksheide. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg?
Victoria Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harksheide
Not enough data to predict the Harksheide lineup.
Victoria Hamburg
Not enough data to predict the Victoria Hamburg lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harksheide have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Victoria Hamburg have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | HT16(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sasel(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harksheide win, 0 draws, 5 Victoria Hamburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Harksheide 1-2 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 5-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 5-1 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Harksheide 2-4 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Victoria Hamburg 5-2 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Harksheide 3-0 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harksheide score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Hamburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harksheide | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harksheide sit 11th in Oberliga - Hamburg (45 points from 34 matches) and Victoria Hamburg sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
A question about Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Harksheide.
- Where and when is Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg played?
- Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg is played on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.