Buckie Thistle vs Deveronvale: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Park, Buckie
The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Deveronvale. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckie Thistle vs Deveronvale?
Buckie Thistle is a heavy favourite: 1,656 Elo points against 1,345 — a 311-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckie Thistle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Deveronvale have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Buckie Thistle win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deveronvale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Buckie Thistle 2-3 Deveronvale | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Deveronvale 3-2 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Buckie Thistle 6-1 Deveronvale | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Deveronvale 1-7 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 6-1 Deveronvale | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Deveronvale 0-0 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Buckie Thistle vs Deveronvale on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deveronvale score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Deveronvale | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckie Thistle sit 8th in Football League - Highland League (53 points from 34 matches) and Deveronvale sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
| 14 | Deveronvale | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 46 | 87 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckie Thistle vs Deveronvale?
- The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Deveronvale.
- Where and when is Buckie Thistle vs Deveronvale played?
- Buckie Thistle vs Deveronvale is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Banks O' DeevsClachnacuddin
- Oct 17, 2026FraserburghvsBrora Rangers
- Oct 17, 2026Forres MechanicsvsHuntly
- Oct 17, 2026KeithvsInvergordon
- Oct 17, 2026Nairn CountyvsTurriff United
- Oct 17, 2026RothesvsInverurie Loco Works
- Oct 17, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsLossiemouth
- Oct 17, 2026Wick AcademyvsFormartine United