Strathspey Thistle vs Lossiemouth: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Seafield Park, Grantown-on-Spey
The Footlab model makes Strathspey Thistle the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Lossiemouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strathspey Thistle vs Lossiemouth?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Strathspey Thistle (1,351) and Lossiemouth (1,278).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strathspey Thistle have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Lossiemouth have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Strathspey Thistle win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lossiemouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lossiemouth 1-1 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Strathspey Thistle 3-2 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Lossiemouth 2-0 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Strathspey Thistle 3-0 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Lossiemouth 2-1 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Strathspey Thistle 0-3 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Lossiemouth vs Strathspey Thistle on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strathspey Thistle score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lossiemouth score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strathspey Thistle | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lossiemouth | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strathspey Thistle sit 12th in Football League - Highland League (41 points from 34 matches) and Lossiemouth sit 17th (17 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Strathspey Thistle | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 83 | 41 |
| 17 | Lossiemouth | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 76 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strathspey Thistle vs Lossiemouth?
- The Footlab model makes Strathspey Thistle the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Lossiemouth.
- Where and when is Strathspey Thistle vs Lossiemouth played?
- Strathspey Thistle vs Lossiemouth is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Seafield Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Banks O' DeevsClachnacuddin
- Oct 17, 2026FraserburghvsBrora Rangers
- Oct 17, 2026Buckie ThistlevsDeveronvale
- Oct 17, 2026Forres MechanicsvsHuntly
- Oct 17, 2026KeithvsInvergordon
- Oct 17, 2026Nairn CountyvsTurriff United
- Oct 17, 2026RothesvsInverurie Loco Works
- Oct 17, 2026Wick AcademyvsFormartine United