Nairn County vs Turriff United: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn
The Footlab model makes Turriff United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Nairn County. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairn County vs Turriff United?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Nairn County (1,436) and Turriff United (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Turriff United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wick Academy(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nairn County win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Turriff United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Turriff United 3-2 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Nairn County 1-2 Turriff United | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nairn County 3-0 Turriff United | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Nairn County 2-0 Turriff United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Turriff United 0-2 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Turriff United 1-3 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Turriff United vs Nairn County on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Turriff United score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Turriff United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairn County sit 9th in Football League - Highland League (49 points from 34 matches) and Turriff United sit 10th (48 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
| 10 | Turriff United | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 60 | 50 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Turriff United?
- The Footlab model makes Turriff United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Nairn County.
- Where and when is Nairn County vs Turriff United played?
- Nairn County vs Turriff United is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Banks O' DeevsClachnacuddin
- Oct 17, 2026FraserburghvsBrora Rangers
- Oct 17, 2026Buckie ThistlevsDeveronvale
- Oct 17, 2026Forres MechanicsvsHuntly
- Oct 17, 2026KeithvsInvergordon
- Oct 17, 2026RothesvsInverurie Loco Works
- Oct 17, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsLossiemouth
- Oct 17, 2026Wick AcademyvsFormartine United