Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bozsik Aréna, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes Budapest Honved the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Budapest Honved wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Budapest Honved (1,768) and MTK Budapest (1,789).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Budapest Honved
4-1-4-1- 45Alberto Marí
- 30T. Somogyi
- 40Adam Szamosi
- 99I. Pekár
- 17P. Pinte
- 3P. Garcia
- 11S. Hangya
- 44Á. Baki
- 4A. Szabó
- 33O. Safronov
- 31O. Hadžikić
MTK Budapest
4-2-3-1- 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
- 11G. Jurek
- 6M. Kata
- 80Adrian Zeljković
- 77G. Komáromi
- 8A. G. Zubor
- 26V. Armalas
- 4I. Beriashvili
- 55S. Radić
- 13M. Timoteus
- 1P. Demjén
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budapest Honved have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 0-2 | NB I |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 1-3 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bajai(away) | 7-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-5 | NB I |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Vasas(home) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paks(away) | 0-3 | NB I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Budapest Honved win, 2 draws, 3 MTK Budapest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Jul 13, 2024 | MTK Budapest 4-3 Budapest Honved | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2024 | MTK Budapest 1-1 Budapest Honved | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 12, 2022 | MTK Budapest 1-0 Budapest Honved | NB I |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Budapest Honved 3-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2021 | MTK Budapest 1-0 Budapest Honved | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Budapest Honved score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budapest Honved | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budapest Honved sit 11th in NB I (10 points from 10 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 9th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 12 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Budapest Honved the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest played?
- Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bozsik Aréna, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.