Match

Paks vs Budapest Honved: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks

PaksBudapest Honved

The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Budapest Honved. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paks wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Paks vs Budapest Honved?

Paks starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,768).

60%22%18%
Paks winDrawBudapest Honved win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Paks vs Budapest Honved

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Paks

5-3-2
  1. 7J. Szalai
  2. 9J. Hahn
  1. 21K. Papp
  2. 17M. Pető
  3. 8B. Balogh
  1. 14E. Silye
  2. 2Á. Kinyik
  3. 24B. Lenzsér
  4. 30J. Szabó
  5. 5B. Vécsei
  1. 28M. Gyetván

Budapest Honved

4-1-4-1
  1. 45Alberto Marí
  1. 30T. Somogyi
  2. 40Adam Szamosi
  3. 99I. Pekár
  4. 17P. Pinte
  5. 3P. Garcia
  1. 11S. Hangya
  2. 44Á. Baki
  3. 4A. Szabó
  4. 33O. Safronov
  1. 31O. Hadžikić

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Budapest Honved have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Paks
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Vasas(away)2-0NB I
Oct 17, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Oct 10, 2026MTK Budapest(home)3-0NB I
Sep 19, 2026Kisvarda FC(away)1-0NB I
Sep 12, 2026Kazincbarcikai(away)2-1Magyar Kupa
Budapest Honved
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Debreceni VSC(home)0-2NB I
Oct 17, 2026Nyiregyhaza(away)1-0NB I
Oct 11, 2026Ujpest(home)1-1NB I
Sep 18, 2026Puskas Academy(away)1-3NB I
Sep 12, 2026Bajai(away)7-0Magyar Kupa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paks wins, 3 draws, 0 Budapest Honved wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Paks 2-2 Budapest HonvedNB I
Oct 31, 2024Budapest Honved 1-5 PaksMagyar Kupa
Nov 2, 2023Budapest Honved 2-2 PaksMagyar Kupa
Apr 1, 2023Budapest Honved 1-2 PaksNB I
Nov 6, 2022Paks 5-0 Budapest HonvedNB I
Aug 14, 2022Budapest Honved 3-3 PaksNB I

Last archived meeting: Paks vs Budapest Honved on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Paks score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Budapest Honved score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Paks1.91.9411/1511/15
Budapest Honved1.71.6410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Paks sit 4th in NB I (17 points from 11 matches) and Budapest Honved sit 11th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Paks11524221917
11Budapest Honved10244131710

A question about Paks vs Budapest Honved?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Paks vs Budapest Honved?
The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Budapest Honved.
Where and when is Paks vs Budapest Honved played?
Paks vs Budapest Honved is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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