MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Puskas Academy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy?
Puskas Academy starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Puskas Academy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vasas(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paks(home) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MTK Budapest(away) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 0-2 | NB I |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 MTK Budapest win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Puskas Academy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| May 15, 2026 | Puskas Academy 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MTK Budapest 2-2 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 30, 2024 | MTK Budapest 0-1 Puskas Academy | NB I |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Puskas Academy score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Puskas Academy | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest sit 4th in NB I (8 points from 5 matches) and Puskas Academy sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy?
- The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Puskas Academy.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy played?
- MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.