Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, Felcsút
The Footlab model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
Puskas Academy starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puskas Academy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vasas(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paks(home) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MTK Budapest(away) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 0-2 | NB I |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puskas Academy win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 MTK Budapest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| May 15, 2026 | Puskas Academy 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MTK Budapest 2-2 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 30, 2024 | MTK Budapest 0-1 Puskas Academy | NB I |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puskas Academy score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puskas Academy | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puskas Academy sit 1st in NB I (12 points from 5 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 4th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest played?
- Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.