Match

Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, Felcsút

Puskas AcademyMTK Budapest

The Footlab AI model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Puskas Academy wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?

Puskas Academy starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,778).

57%22%21%
Puskas Academy winDrawMTK Budapest win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Puskas Academy

4-4-2
  1. 90A. Németh
  2. 74M. Kern
  1. 10P. Dárdai
  2. 6L. Duarte
  3. 4Michael Okeke
  4. 16U. Nissilä
  1. 14W. Golla
  2. 21G. Harutyunyan
  3. 88B. Farkas
  4. 22R. Szolnoki
  1. 72B. Lehoczki

MTK Budapest

4-2-3-1
  1. 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
  1. 11G. Jurek
  2. 6M. Kata
  3. 80Adrian Zeljković
  4. 77G. Komáromi
  5. 8A. G. Zubor
  1. 26V. Armalas
  2. 4I. Beriashvili
  3. 55S. Radić
  4. 27P. Kovács
  1. 1P. Demjén

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puskas Academy have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Puskas Academy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Ujpest(away)1-0NB I
Oct 11, 2026Gyori ETO FC(away)1-0NB I
Oct 1, 2026Dunajska Streda(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026Budapest Honved(home)3-1NB I
Sep 13, 2026Mezőörs(away)8-1Magyar Kupa
MTK Budapest
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Vasas(home)1-0NB I
Oct 10, 2026Paks(away)0-3NB I
Sep 20, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Sep 12, 2026Mezokovesd-zsory(away)2-0Magyar Kupa
Sep 5, 2026Kisvarda FC(home)1-2NB I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puskas Academy wins, 4 draws, 0 MTK Budapest wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas AcademyNB I
May 15, 2026Puskas Academy 2-2 MTK BudapestNB I
Feb 14, 2026MTK Budapest 2-2 Puskas AcademyNB I
Oct 25, 2025Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK BudapestNB I
Apr 6, 2025Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK BudapestNB I
Nov 30, 2024MTK Budapest 0-1 Puskas AcademyNB I

Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Puskas Academy score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Puskas Academy1.81.248/157/15
MTK Budapest1.51.749/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Puskas Academy sit 1st in NB I (21 points from 10 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 8th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Puskas Academy10703151021
8MTK Budapest10334161712

A question about Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
The Footlab AI model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for MTK Budapest.
Where and when is Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest played?
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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