Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, Felcsút
The Footlab AI model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Puskas Academy wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
Puskas Academy starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Puskas Academy
4-4-2- 90A. Németh
- 74M. Kern
- 10P. Dárdai
- 6L. Duarte
- 4Michael Okeke
- 16U. Nissilä
- 14W. Golla
- 21G. Harutyunyan
- 88B. Farkas
- 22R. Szolnoki
- 72B. Lehoczki
MTK Budapest
4-2-3-1- 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
- 11G. Jurek
- 6M. Kata
- 80Adrian Zeljković
- 77G. Komáromi
- 8A. G. Zubor
- 26V. Armalas
- 4I. Beriashvili
- 55S. Radić
- 27P. Kovács
- 1P. Demjén
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puskas Academy have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 3-1 | NB I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mezőörs(away) | 8-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Vasas(home) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paks(away) | 0-3 | NB I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puskas Academy wins, 4 draws, 0 MTK Budapest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| May 15, 2026 | Puskas Academy 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MTK Budapest 2-2 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 30, 2024 | MTK Budapest 0-1 Puskas Academy | NB I |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puskas Academy score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puskas Academy | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puskas Academy sit 1st in NB I (21 points from 10 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 8th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest played?
- Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.