Bugesera vs Police: result 1-3 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 11, 2019 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Police?
Police won 1-3 on May 11, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Police have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Espoir(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 1, 2019 | Muhanga(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 27, 2019 | APR(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 21, 2019 | AS Kigali(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 1, 2019 | Sunrise(home) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Mukura(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 21, 2019 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 22, 2019 | Marines(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bugesera win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Police win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2018 | Police 1-3 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Police | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 9th in National Soccer League (44 points from 34 matches) and Police sit 6th (52 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy