Bugesera vs Police: result 2-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 11, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Police?
Bugesera won 2-1 on March 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 40′?Bugesera
- 49′?Police
- 72′?Bugesera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Police have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Mukura(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Rutsiro(home) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Musanze(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Espoir(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Sunrise(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Musanze(home) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Mukura(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 4, 2023 | AS Kigali(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bugesera win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Police win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | Police 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Bugesera 2-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Jan 24, 2022 | Police 1-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2021 | Bugesera 2-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Dec 10, 2020 | Bugesera 1-3 Police | National Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Bugesera 3-1 Police | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Police | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 9th in National Soccer League (44 points from 34 matches) and Police sit 6th (52 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy