LNZ Cherkasy vs Kolos Kovalivka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cherkasy Arena, Cherkasy
The Footlab model makes LNZ Cherkasy the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Kolos Kovalivka. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LNZ Cherkasy vs Kolos Kovalivka?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate LNZ Cherkasy (1,926) and Kolos Kovalivka (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LNZ Cherkasy have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Kolos Kovalivka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 LNZ Cherkasy win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kolos Kovalivka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 LNZ Cherkasy | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 19, 2025 | LNZ Cherkasy 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-2 LNZ Cherkasy | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LNZ Cherkasy 2-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Kolos Kovalivka vs LNZ Cherkasy on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LNZ Cherkasy score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kolos Kovalivka score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNZ Cherkasy | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LNZ Cherkasy sit 8th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kolos Kovalivka sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | LNZ Cherkasy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LNZ Cherkasy vs Kolos Kovalivka?
- The Footlab model makes LNZ Cherkasy the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Kolos Kovalivka.
- Where and when is LNZ Cherkasy vs Kolos Kovalivka played?
- LNZ Cherkasy vs Kolos Kovalivka is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cherkasy Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.