Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Lviv, Lviv
The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Kryvbas KR. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,600 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR?
Shakhtar Donetsk starts as the favourite with a 269-point Elo edge (2,199 vs 1,931).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1- 2L. Traoré
- 8D. Kryskiv
- 29E. Nazaryna
- 99Bruninho
- 11Newertton
- 14Isaque
- 22M. Matvienko
- 13Pedrinho
- 20O. Karavaev
- 5V. Bondar
- 31D. Riznyk
Kryvbas KR
5-4-1- 11Cyprian Kachwele
- 8Y. Shevchenko
- 17R. Nawi
- 21Oleksandr Kamenskyi
- 18B. Lin
- 22João Machado
- 16Thiago Isabel Nascimento Borges
- 6D. Pidgurskyi
- 4V. Vilivald
- 5V. Kulbachuk
- 12O. Kemkin
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shakhtar Donetsk have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Kryvbas KR have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Olimpiya Savyntsi(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Shakhtar Donetsk wins, 2 draws, 0 Kryvbas KR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Kryvbas KR | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Kryvbas KR 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR on Oct 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kryvbas KR score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Kryvbas KR | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shakhtar Donetsk sit 2nd in Premier League (25 points from 10 matches) and Kryvbas KR sit 15th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 25 |
| 15 | Kryvbas KR | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Kryvbas KR.
- Where and when is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR played?
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Lviv, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.