Bulleen Lions vs Northcote City: prediction and stats
Victoria NPL 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)David Barro Stadium (Veneto Club), Melbourne
The Footlab model makes Bulleen Lions the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Northcote City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bulleen Lions vs Northcote City?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Bulleen Lions (1,713) and Northcote City (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bulleen Lions have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Northcote City have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Melbourne Srbija(away) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | North Sunshine Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | North Geelong Warriors(away) | 4-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Langwarrin(home) | 3-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Western United II(away) | 4-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brunswick Juventus FC(home) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Melbourne Victory II(away) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eltham Redbacks FC(home) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Port Melbourne(away) | 3-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Manningham United Blues(home) | 3-3 | Victoria NPL 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bulleen Lions win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Northcote City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Northcote City 1-1 Bulleen Lions | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Bulleen Lions 2-1 Northcote City | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Northcote City 4-1 Bulleen Lions | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Northcote City 0-0 Bulleen Lions | Victoria NPL 2 |
| May 13, 2024 | Bulleen Lions 1-1 Northcote City | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Northcote City 0-0 Bulleen Lions | Victoria NPL 2 |
Last archived meeting: Northcote City vs Bulleen Lions on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bulleen Lions score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Northcote City score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulleen Lions | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Northcote City | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bulleen Lions sit 4th in Victoria NPL 2 (45 points from 25 matches) and Northcote City sit 3rd (49 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Northcote City | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Bulleen Lions | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 31 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bulleen Lions vs Northcote City?
- The Footlab model makes Bulleen Lions the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Northcote City.
- Where and when is Bulleen Lions vs Northcote City played?
- Bulleen Lions vs Northcote City is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at David Barro Stadium (Veneto Club), in the Victoria NPL 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.