Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors: prediction and stats
Victoria NPL 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Lawton Park Reserve - Pitch 1, Langwarrin South
The Footlab model makes Langwarrin the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for North Geelong Warriors. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Langwarrin (1,591) and North Geelong Warriors (1,517).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Langwarrin have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; North Geelong Warriors have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Melbourne Knights(away) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brunswick City(home) | 3-4 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Bulleen Lions(away) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Brunswick Juventus FC(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Melbourne Victory II(home) | 3-3 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brunswick City(away) | 0-4 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Srbija(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bulleen Lions(home) | 0-4 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brunswick Juventus FC(away) | 0-3 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Melbourne Victory II(home) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Langwarrin win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 North Geelong Warriors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | North Geelong Warriors 2-4 Langwarrin | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jun 1, 2024 | North Geelong Warriors 1-0 Langwarrin | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Langwarrin 2-1 North Geelong Warriors | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jun 18, 2022 | North Geelong Warriors 1-1 Langwarrin | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Langwarrin 2-2 North Geelong Warriors | Victoria NPL 2 |
Last archived meeting: North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Langwarrin score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; North Geelong Warriors score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langwarrin | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| North Geelong Warriors | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Langwarrin sit 11th in Victoria NPL 2 (29 points from 25 matches) and North Geelong Warriors sit 9th (31 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | North Geelong Warriors | 25 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 51 | 31 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 53 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors?
- The Footlab model makes Langwarrin the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for North Geelong Warriors.
- Where and when is Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors played?
- Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Lawton Park Reserve - Pitch 1, in the Victoria NPL 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.