Melbourne Victory II vs Port Melbourne: prediction and stats
Victoria NPL 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Melbourne Victory II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Port Melbourne. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melbourne Victory II vs Port Melbourne?
Melbourne Victory II starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne Victory II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Port Melbourne have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Manningham United Blues(away) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Northcote City(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Melbourne Srbija(home) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | North Sunshine Eagles(home) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | North Geelong Warriors(away) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eltham Redbacks FC(home) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Melbourne Knights(home) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manningham United Blues(away) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Northcote City(home) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Melbourne Srbija(away) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Melbourne Victory II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Port Melbourne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Port Melbourne 1-3 Melbourne Victory II | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Melbourne Victory II 1-2 Port Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Port Melbourne 0-3 Melbourne Victory II | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne Victory II score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Port Melbourne score 0.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory II | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Port Melbourne | 0.5 | 2.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melbourne Victory II sit 5th in Victoria NPL 2 (43 points from 25 matches) and Port Melbourne sit 14th (17 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Melbourne Victory II | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 55 | 36 | 43 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 54 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melbourne Victory II vs Port Melbourne?
- The Footlab model makes Melbourne Victory II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Port Melbourne.
- Where and when is Melbourne Victory II vs Port Melbourne played?
- Melbourne Victory II vs Port Melbourne is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the Victoria NPL 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.