Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Knights: prediction and stats
Victoria NPL 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Eltham Redbacks FC the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Melbourne Knights. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Knights?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Eltham Redbacks FC (1,696) and Melbourne Knights (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltham Redbacks FC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Melbourne Knights have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Port Melbourne(away) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Manningham United Blues(home) | 5-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Northcote City(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Melbourne Srbija(home) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | North Sunshine Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Langwarrin(home) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Port Melbourne(away) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Western United II(home) | 4-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Manningham United Blues(away) | 5-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Brunswick City(home) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Eltham Redbacks FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Melbourne Knights win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Melbourne Knights 4-0 Eltham Redbacks FC | Victoria NPL 2 |
Last archived meeting: Melbourne Knights vs Eltham Redbacks FC on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eltham Redbacks FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne Knights score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eltham Redbacks FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Melbourne Knights | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eltham Redbacks FC sit 6th in Victoria NPL 2 (38 points from 25 matches) and Melbourne Knights sit 1st (51 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 22 | 51 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks FC | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Knights?
- The Footlab model makes Eltham Redbacks FC the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Melbourne Knights.
- Where and when is Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Knights played?
- Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Knights is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the Victoria NPL 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.