Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Brentwood Town the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,828) and Brentwood Town (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Brentwood Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Brentwood Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town 2-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 3-2 Brentwood Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Brentwood Town 2-1 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brentwood Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Brentwood Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Brentwood Town sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town?
- The Footlab model makes Brentwood Town the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026DartfordvsThree Bridges
- Oct 24, 2026LeatherheadvsRamsgate
- Oct 24, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsAveley
- Oct 24, 2026WhitehawkvsWelling United
- Oct 24, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 24, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsWhyteleafe
- Oct 24, 2026Cray WanderersvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 24, 2026Enfield TownvsLewes