Where and when is Cultural Leonesa II vs Burgos Promesas played?

Cultural Leonesa II vs Burgos Promesas is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cultural Leonesa II vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, León

Cultural Leonesa II

Burgos Promesas

The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa II the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cultural Leonesa II vs Burgos Promesas?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Cultural Leonesa II (1,745) and Burgos Promesas (1,818).

Cultural Leonesa II win39 %

Draw29 %

Burgos Promesas win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cultural Leonesa II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Numancia II(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cultural Leonesa II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Burgos Promesas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 26, 2025	Burgos Promesas 1-3 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 14, 2024	Cultural Leonesa II 2-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2024	Burgos Promesas 0-2 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 2, 2023	Cultural Leonesa II 0-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 9, 2021	Burgos Promesas 1-0 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 17, 2021	Cultural Leonesa II 0-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II on Jan 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cultural Leonesa II	1.3	1.5	5	5/15	11/15
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Cultural Leonesa II	34	12	6	16	38	43	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa II vs Burgos Promesas?: The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa II the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Burgos Promesas.
Where and when is Cultural Leonesa II vs Burgos Promesas played?: Cultural Leonesa II vs Burgos Promesas is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.