Burgos vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab model makes Burgos the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Burgos starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Real Sociedad II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Burgos win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Real Sociedad II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Burgos 1-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Burgos 0-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 0-0 Burgos | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Burgos 0-2 Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Burgos on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 7th in Segunda División (3 points from 1 matches) and Real Sociedad II sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burgos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
- The Footlab model makes Burgos the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Real Sociedad II played?
- Burgos vs Real Sociedad II is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.