Burgos vs Albacete: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Albacete. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Albacete?
Burgos starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Albacete
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Albacete
4-4-2- 9Mario Soberón
- 19Alex Rubio
- 17José Corpas
- 6Antonio Pacheco
- 11Víctor Valverde
- 14San Bartolomé
- 21Carlos Neva
- 22Lluís López
- 24Vallejo
- 15Fran Gámez
- 13Diego Mariño
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Albacete have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burgos wins, 0 draws, 3 Albacete wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Albacete 2-3 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Burgos 0-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Burgos 1-0 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Albacete 2-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Burgos 2-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Albacete 2-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Albacete | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 8th in Segunda División (17 points from 10 matches) and Albacete sit 22nd (1 point from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 1 |
A question about Burgos vs Albacete?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Albacete?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Albacete.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Albacete played?
- Burgos vs Albacete is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.