Buriram United vs Kashima: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League EliteLeague Phase - 4Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Chang Arena, Buriram
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Buriram United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buriram United vs Kashima?
Kashima starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (2,187 vs 1,913).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buriram United vs Kashima
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buriram United
5-4-1- 7Bissoli
- 16K. Dougall
- 20Toni Moya
- 37Darlan
- 23G. Čaušić
- 5Nathan
- 19K. Schindler
- 6C. Good
- 31Caju
- 40Eduardo Mancha
- 13N. Etheridge
Kashima
4-4-2- 40Y. Suzuki
- 34H. Tokuda
- 8Matheus Bueno
- 17Élber
- 24H. Hayashu
- 27Y. Matsumura
- 7R. Ogawa
- 5I. Sekigawa
- 55N. Ueda
- 23K. Tsukui
- 1T. Hayakawa
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buriram United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kashima have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 2-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | DPU Thayang FC(home) | 8-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 4-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Buriram United score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buriram United | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kashima | 2.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buriram United sit 13th in AFC Champions League Elite (2 points from 3 matches) and Kashima sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Buriram United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
A question about Buriram United vs Kashima?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buriram United vs Kashima?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Buriram United.
- Where and when is Buriram United vs Kashima played?
- Buriram United vs Kashima is played on November 4, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Chang Arena, in the AFC Champions League Elite.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.