Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Kashima played?

FC Tokyo vs Kashima is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Tokyo vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC Tokyo

Kashima

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for FC Tokyo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,158 vs 2,001).

FC Tokyo win32 %

Draw27 %

Kashima win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kashima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	2-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	1-5	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Kashima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	3-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Vegalta Sendai(home)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	2-0	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Tokyo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kashima win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Kashima 1-0 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Feb 7, 2026	FC Tokyo 1-1 Kashima	J1 League
Aug 10, 2025	FC Tokyo 0-1 Kashima	J1 League
Mar 1, 2025	Kashima 2-0 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Jul 20, 2024	Kashima 2-1 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Apr 7, 2024	FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs FC Tokyo on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo	1.7	1.5	3	9/15	10/15
Kashima	1.9	1.0	8	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 11th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kashima sit 3rd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Kashima	3	3	0	0	9	6	9
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Kashima?: The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for FC Tokyo.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Kashima played?: FC Tokyo vs Kashima is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.