Match

FC Tokyo vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC TokyoKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for FC Tokyo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashima?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate FC Tokyo (2,078) and Kashima (2,134).

33%27%40%
FC Tokyo winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Tokyo vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 9Marcelo Ryan
  2. 26M. Nagakura
  1. 27Kyota Tokiwa
  2. 33K. Tawaratsumida
  3. 7S. Anzai
  4. 20S. Nagano
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 8Matheus Bueno
  4. 10G. Shibasaki
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 7R. Ogawa
  3. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  4. 37R. Hirose
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Kashima have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Urawa(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 7, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)4-0Emperor Cup
Sep 29, 2026Ehime FC(away)2-0J-League Cup
Sep 19, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)1-0J1 League
Sep 12, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)2-0J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League
Sep 23, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Sep 19, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)3-3J1 League
Sep 15, 2026Newcastle Jets(home)7-1AFC Champions League Elite

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Tokyo win, 1 draw, 4 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Kashima 1-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Feb 7, 2026FC Tokyo 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Aug 10, 2025FC Tokyo 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 1, 2025Kashima 2-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Jul 20, 2024Kashima 2-1 FC TokyoJ1 League
Apr 7, 2024FC Tokyo 2-0 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs FC Tokyo on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo2.10.995/158/15
Kashima2.71.268/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 4th in J1 League (20 points from 9 matches) and Kashima sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4FC Tokyo962117820
6Kashima9513191616

A question about FC Tokyo vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for FC Tokyo.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Kashima played?
FC Tokyo vs Kashima is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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