Buriram United vs Pusamania Borneo: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Chang Arena, Buriram
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Pusamania Borneo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buriram United vs Pusamania Borneo?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Buriram United (1,965) and Pusamania Borneo (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buriram United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pusamania Borneo have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Buriram United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pusamania Borneo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | Buriram United 4-0 Pusamania Borneo | ASEAN Club Championship |
Last archived meeting: Buriram United vs Pusamania Borneo on Jan 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buriram United vs Pusamania Borneo?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Pusamania Borneo.
- Where and when is Buriram United vs Pusamania Borneo played?
- Buriram United vs Pusamania Borneo is played on October 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Chang Arena, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.