Where and when is Ratchaburi vs Ho Chi Minh played?

Ratchaburi vs Ho Chi Minh is played on October 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Dragon Solar Park, in the ASEAN Club Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ratchaburi vs Ho Chi Minh: prediction and stats

ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi

Ratchaburi

Ho Chi Minh

The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Ho Chi Minh. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ratchaburi vs Ho Chi Minh?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Ratchaburi (1,834) and Ho Chi Minh (1,741).

Ratchaburi win63 %

Draw20 %

Ho Chi Minh win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ratchaburi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ho Chi Minh have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ratchaburi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Kanchanaburi(away)	1-0	Thai League 1
May 3, 2026	Rayong FC(home)	6-1	Thai League 1
Apr 29, 2026	Chiangrai United(away)	0-1	Thai League 1
Apr 24, 2026	Sukhothai FC(away)	2-1	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Bangkok United(away)	4-1	Thai League 1

Ho Chi Minh
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Binh Duong(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	Dong Thap(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 14, 2026	Phu Dong(away)	2-1	Cup
Jun 11, 2026	Nam Dinh(away)	4-2	Cup
Jun 7, 2026	Ha Noi(away)	1-1	V.League 1

How many goals should we expect?

Ratchaburi score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ho Chi Minh score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ratchaburi	1.7	1.2	1	11/15	9/15
Ho Chi Minh	1.7	0.9	5	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ratchaburi vs Ho Chi Minh?: The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Ho Chi Minh.
Where and when is Ratchaburi vs Ho Chi Minh played?: Ratchaburi vs Ho Chi Minh is played on October 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Dragon Solar Park, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.