Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Bishan Stadium, Singapore
The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Công An Nhân Dân. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Công An Nhân Dân starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Công An Nhân Dân have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Viettel(away) | 0-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Binh Duong(home) | 2-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(home) | 2-0 | V.League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Home United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Công An Nhân Dân win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2024 | Công An Nhân Dân 5-0 Home United | ASEAN Club Championship |
Last archived meeting: Công An Nhân Dân vs Home United on Sep 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Công An Nhân Dân score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home United | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Công An Nhân Dân | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Home United sit 4th in ASEAN Club Championship (4 points from 5 matches) and Công An Nhân Dân sit 4th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Home United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 4 | Công An Nhân Dân | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
- The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Công An Nhân Dân.
- Where and when is Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân played?
- Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân is played on October 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Bishan Stadium, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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