Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on November 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Thống Nhất (Thong Nhat Stadium), Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh (Ho Chi Minh City)
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ho Chi Minh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United?
Buriram United starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ho Chi Minh have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Binh Duong(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dong Thap(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Phu Dong(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Nam Dinh(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ha Noi(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ho Chi Minh win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Buriram United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2020 | Buriram United 2-1 Ho Chi Minh | AFC Champions League Elite |
Last archived meeting: Buriram United vs Ho Chi Minh on Jan 21, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Ho Chi Minh score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ho Chi Minh | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ho Chi Minh.
- Where and when is Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United played?
- Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United is played on November 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Thống Nhất (Thong Nhat Stadium), in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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