Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on November 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Thống Nhất (Thong Nhat Stadium), Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh (Ho Chi Minh City)
The Footlab AI model makes Buriram United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Ho Chi Minh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buriram United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United?
Buriram United starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ho Chi Minh
4-3-3- 9J. Cummings
- 7M. Olaha
- 58K. Yamga
- 39Nguyễn Đức Phú
- 19Q. C. Nguyen Thai
- 22Nguyễn Tiến Linh
- 13Khong Minh Gia
- 4D. Abels
- 27Nguyễn Nhật Minh
- 2Lenn-Minh Tran
- 89P. Lê Giang
Buriram United
4-2-3-1- 30S. Schimmer
- 7Bissoli
- 26U. Radaković
- 55T. Bunmathan
- 19K. Schindler
- 37Darlan
- 2S. Haiprakhon
- 5Nathan
- 16K. Dougall
- 39J. Praisuwan
- 13N. Etheridge
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ho Chi Minh have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Văn Hiến(home) | 0-1 | V.League 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Binh Dinh(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lam Dong(away) | 1-0 | V.League 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bắc Ninh(away) | 0-1 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 0-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 3-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ho Chi Minh wins, 0 draws, 1 Buriram United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2020 | Buriram United 2-1 Ho Chi Minh | AFC Champions League Elite |
Last archived meeting: Buriram United vs Ho Chi Minh on Jan 21, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Ho Chi Minh score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ho Chi Minh | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
A question about Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buriram United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Ho Chi Minh.
- Where and when is Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United played?
- Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United is played on November 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Thống Nhất (Thong Nhat Stadium), in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 7, 2026Buriram United0-0Pusamania Borneo
- Oct 7, 2026Ratchaburi1-1Ho Chi Minh
- Oct 7, 2026Kuching FA2-2Tampines Rovers
- Oct 8, 2026Home United0-1Công An Nhân Dân
- Oct 8, 2026Johor Darul Takzim FC6-0Svay Rieng
- Oct 8, 2026Port FC1-3Persib Bandung
- Nov 18, 2026Tampines RoversvsRatchaburi
- Nov 19, 2026Svay RiengvsPort FC