Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Svay Rieng: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin, Iskandar Puteri (Nusajaya)
The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Svay Rieng. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Svay Rieng?
Johor Darul Takzim FC starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (2,075 vs 1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johor Darul Takzim FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Svay Rieng have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 2-0 | Malaysia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 4-4 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 3-2 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 3-4 | AFC Challenge League |
| May 7, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 2-3 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Johor Darul Takzim FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Svay Rieng win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Svay Rieng 2-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC | ASEAN Club Championship |
Last archived meeting: Svay Rieng vs Johor Darul Takzim FC on Dec 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Johor Darul Takzim FC score 3.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Svay Rieng score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Svay Rieng | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johor Darul Takzim FC sit 2nd in ASEAN Club Championship (11 points from 5 matches) and Svay Rieng sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Svay Rieng | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Svay Rieng?
- The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Svay Rieng.
- Where and when is Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Svay Rieng played?
- Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Svay Rieng is played on October 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.