Burnley vs QPR: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs QPR?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Burnley (1,915) and QPR (1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs QPR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 23Lucas Pires
- 37G. Coudert
QPR
4-3-3- 17K. Poku
- 11P. Smyth
- 16R. Burrell
- 5R. Edwards
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 3J. Dunne
- 6J. Clarke-Salter
- 2K. Adamson
- 27A. Mbengue
- 1P. Charles
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; QPR have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burnley wins, 2 draws, 1 QPR win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | QPR 0-5 Burnley | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Burnley 0-0 QPR | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Burnley 1-2 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2022 | QPR 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
| May 2, 2016 | Burnley 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2015 | QPR 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| QPR | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 21st in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and QPR sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Burnley vs QPR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs QPR?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for QPR.
- Where and when is Burnley vs QPR played?
- Burnley vs QPR is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.