Millwall vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Den, London
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Millwall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millwall vs Birmingham?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Millwall (1,962) and Birmingham (1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millwall vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 13L. Dykes
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 22K. Lisbie
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 34F. Marschall
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Millwall wins, 2 draws, 2 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Millwall 3-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Birmingham 4-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Millwall 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Birmingham 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Millwall 0-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Birmingham 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Millwall vs Birmingham on Feb 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 10th in Championship (14 points from 10 matches) and Birmingham sit 3rd (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
A question about Millwall vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millwall vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Millwall.
- Where and when is Millwall vs Birmingham played?
- Millwall vs Birmingham is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Den, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.