Stoke City vs Blackburn: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stoke City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs Blackburn?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Stoke City (1,942) and Blackburn (1,957).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs Blackburn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 3H. Pickering
- 6Tom Atcheson
- 22B. Tóth
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Blackburn have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stoke City wins, 2 draws, 2 Blackburn wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Blackburn 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Stoke City 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Blackburn 0-2 Stoke City | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Blackburn 3-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Stoke City 0-3 Blackburn | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Blackburn on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Blackburn score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Blackburn | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 6th in Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Blackburn sit 10th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Stoke City vs Blackburn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Blackburn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs Blackburn played?
- Stoke City vs Blackburn is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.