QPR vs Burnley: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If QPR wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win QPR vs Burnley?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate QPR (1,954) and Burnley (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for QPR vs Burnley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
QPR
4-3-3- 17K. Poku
- 11P. Smyth
- 16R. Burrell
- 5R. Edwards
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 3J. Dunne
- 6J. Clarke-Salter
- 2K. Adamson
- 27A. Mbengue
- 1P. Charles
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 23Lucas Pires
- 37G. Coudert
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Burnley have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 QPR win, 2 draws, 3 Burnley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | QPR 0-5 Burnley | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Burnley 0-0 QPR | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Burnley 1-2 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2022 | QPR 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
| May 2, 2016 | Burnley 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2015 | QPR 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 6th in Championship (14 points from 9 matches) and Burnley sit 22nd (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
A question about QPR vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for QPR vs Burnley?
- The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Burnley.
- Where and when is QPR vs Burnley played?
- QPR vs Burnley is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at MATRADE Loftus Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.