Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Minareli Çavuş Spor Tesisleri, Bursa
The Footlab model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Kepezspor?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Bursa Yıldırımspor (1,576) and Kepezspor (1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bursa Yıldırımspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Galata(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Altınordu(home) | 2-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bursa Yıldırımspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kepezspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Kepezspor 2-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 Kepezspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Kepezspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor on May 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa Yıldırımspor | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Kepezspor | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Kepezspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Kepezspor.
- Where and when is Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Kepezspor played?
- Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Kepezspor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Minareli Çavuş Spor Tesisleri, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.