Eskişehirspor vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Eskişehir Stadyumu, Eskişehir
The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Karsiyaka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eskişehirspor vs Karsiyaka?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Eskişehirspor (1,695) and Karsiyaka (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eskişehirspor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Karsiyaka have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Eskişehirspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karsiyaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Karsiyaka 0-0 Eskişehirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Eskişehirspor 3-0 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Karsiyaka 1-1 Eskişehirspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Eskişehirspor 0-1 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Karsiyaka vs Eskişehirspor on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eskişehirspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskişehirspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 12 | 2/15 | 7/15 |
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eskişehirspor vs Karsiyaka?
- The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Karsiyaka.
- Where and when is Eskişehirspor vs Karsiyaka played?
- Eskişehirspor vs Karsiyaka is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Eskişehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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