Balıkesirspor vs Denizli İYG: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, Balıkesir
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balıkesirspor vs Denizli İYG?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Balıkesirspor (1,675) and Denizli İYG (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balıkesirspor have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Denizli İYG have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Balıkesirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Denizli İYG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG 0-1 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Balıkesirspor 3-1 Denizli İYG | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Denizli İYG vs Balıkesirspor on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Denizli İYG | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balıkesirspor vs Denizli İYG?
- The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Denizli İYG.
- Where and when is Balıkesirspor vs Denizli İYG played?
- Balıkesirspor vs Denizli İYG is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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