Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Minareli Çavuş Spor Tesisleri, Bursa
The Footlab model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Uşak Spor?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Bursa Yıldırımspor (1,566) and Uşak Spor (1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bursa Yıldırımspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Galata(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa Yıldırımspor | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Uşak Spor | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Uşak Spor?
- The Footlab model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Uşak Spor.
- Where and when is Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Uşak Spor played?
- Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Uşak Spor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Minareli Çavuş Spor Tesisleri, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.