Match

Etimesgut SK vs Balıkesirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, Etimesgut

Etimesgut SKBalıkesirspor

The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Balıkesirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etimesgut SK vs Balıkesirspor?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Etimesgut SK (1,601) and Balıkesirspor (1,664).

Etimesgut SK win37 %
Draw28 %
Balıkesirspor win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etimesgut SK have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Balıkesirspor have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etimesgut SK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home)1-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Kartal Bulvarspor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)1-33. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 1
Balıkesirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Bornova 1877(away)4-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Denizli İYG(away)1-03. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Etimesgut SK win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Balıkesirspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2025Etimesgut SK 0-1 Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 2
Nov 3, 2024Balıkesirspor 0-0 Etimesgut SK3. Lig - Group 2
Feb 4, 2023Etimesgut SK 1-1 Balıkesirspor2. Lig
Sep 14, 2022Balıkesirspor 0-3 Etimesgut SK2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Etimesgut SK vs Balıkesirspor on Mar 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Etimesgut SK score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etimesgut SK1.01.077/155/15
Balıkesirspor1.90.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etimesgut SK vs Balıkesirspor?
The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Balıkesirspor.
Where and when is Etimesgut SK vs Balıkesirspor played?
Etimesgut SK vs Balıkesirspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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