Burton Albion vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
Full time
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Derby?
Burton Albion won 1-0 on August 26, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 12′J. IrvineBurton Albion
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2016 | Liverpool(home) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Blackburn(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Bristol City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2016 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2016 | Carlisle(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Barnsley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy