Burundi vs Somalia: prediction and stats
African Nations Championship - Qualification1st RoundKick-off on October 25, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burundi have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Somalia have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-4 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Senegal(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Malawi(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Seychelles(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2024 | Botswana(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Mozambique(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Eswatini(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Eswatini(home) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Uganda(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Burundi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Somalia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2019 | Burundi 0-1 Somalia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 28, 2013 | Burundi 2-0 Somalia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Burundi 5-1 Somalia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Burundi score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Somalia score 0.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burundi | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Somalia | 0.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy