Where and when is Quorn vs Gainsborough Trinity played?

Quorn vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Quorn vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire

Quorn

Gainsborough Trinity

The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Quorn vs Gainsborough Trinity?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Quorn (1,769) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,797).

Quorn win38 %

Draw28 %

Gainsborough Trinity win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Quorn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lancaster City(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Rylands(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Redcar Athletic(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(home)	0-5	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Avro(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

Gainsborough Trinity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bury(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Stockton Town(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Alfreton Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Workington(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Quorn score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Quorn	0.9	1.7	4	7/15	8/15
Gainsborough Trinity	1.1	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 5 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 8th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Gainsborough Trinity	5	3	0	2	10	4	9
21	Quorn	5	0	2	3	4	11	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Gainsborough Trinity?: The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gainsborough Trinity.
Where and when is Quorn vs Gainsborough Trinity played?: Quorn vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.