AFC Emley vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lancaster City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate AFC Emley (1,706) and Lancaster City (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Emley vs Lancaster City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Avro(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 1.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 14 matches) and Lancaster City sit 11th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lancaster City | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 28 | 20 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 14 |
A question about AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Lancaster City played?
- AFC Emley vs Lancaster City is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Guiseley AFCvsAshton United
- Oct 24, 2026Hyde UnitedvsRylands
- Oct 24, 2026Curzon AshtonvsIlkeston Town
- Oct 24, 2026Leek TownvsGainsborough Trinity
- Oct 24, 2026WorkingtonvsAlfreton Town
- Oct 24, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Oct 24, 2026Warrington TownvsBury
- Oct 24, 2026AvrovsWhitby Town