Bury vs Morecambe: result 4-1 and analysis
EFL TrophyGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
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What was the result of Bury vs Morecambe?
Bury won 4-1 on August 30, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 3′Z. IsmailBury (pen.)
- 43′P. MullinMorecambe
- 49′Tom PopeBury
- 81′A. KayBury
- 90′Tom PopeBury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Morecambe have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2016 | Walsall(away) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Oldham(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Coventry(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Gillingham(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2016 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2016 | Accrington ST(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Portsmouth(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Blackpool(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Morecambe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2015 | Bury 0-1 Morecambe | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 6, 2015 | Bury 1-2 Morecambe | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Morecambe 1-0 Bury | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2014 | Bury 3-1 Morecambe | EFL Trophy |
| May 3, 2014 | Morecambe 0-0 Bury | League Two |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Bury 0-2 Morecambe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy