Bury vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Workington?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,979 vs 1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Workington
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Workington have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bury win, 0 draws, 0 Workington wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bury 5-1 Workington | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 8th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Workington sit 6th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Workington | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
| 8 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Bury vs Workington?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Workington?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Workington.
- Where and when is Bury vs Workington played?
- Bury vs Workington is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Alfreton TownvsAFC Emley
- Oct 31, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsBamber Bridge
- Oct 31, 2026Curzon AshtonvsLeek Town
- Oct 31, 2026Ilkeston TownvsHyde United
- Oct 31, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsAvro
- Oct 31, 2026Ashton UnitedvsRylands
- Oct 31, 2026United of ManchestervsLancaster City
- Oct 31, 2026Warrington TownvsQuorn