Ashton United vs Rylands: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Rylands?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,748) and Rylands (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Rylands have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ashton United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Rylands win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ashton United 2-1 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Rylands 1-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Ashton United 1-1 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Rylands 3-4 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Ashton United 0-0 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2023 | Rylands 2-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Rylands on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rylands score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rylands | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 5th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Rylands sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ashton United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Rylands | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Rylands?
- The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Rylands played?
- Ashton United vs Rylands is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026BuryvsWorkington
- Oct 31, 2026Alfreton TownvsAFC Emley
- Oct 31, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsBamber Bridge
- Oct 31, 2026Curzon AshtonvsLeek Town
- Oct 31, 2026Ilkeston TownvsHyde United
- Oct 31, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsAvro
- Oct 31, 2026United of ManchestervsLancaster City
- Oct 31, 2026Warrington TownvsQuorn