Whitby Town vs Stockton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Stockton Town?
Stockton Town starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Stockton Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Whitby Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Stockton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Stockton Town 0-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Whitby Town 1-1 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Whitby Town 0-2 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Stockton Town 2-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Whitby Town 1-0 Stockton Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Stockton Town vs Whitby Town on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Whitby Town score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Stockton Town | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitby Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 6 matches) and Stockton Town sit 20th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Whitby Town | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Stockton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Whitby Town vs Stockton Town played?
- Whitby Town vs Stockton Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026BuryvsWorkington
- Oct 31, 2026Alfreton TownvsAFC Emley
- Oct 31, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsBamber Bridge
- Oct 31, 2026Curzon AshtonvsLeek Town
- Oct 31, 2026Ilkeston TownvsHyde United
- Oct 31, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsAvro
- Oct 31, 2026Ashton UnitedvsRylands
- Oct 31, 2026United of ManchestervsLancaster City