Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Busan Asiad Main Stadium, Busan
The Footlab model makes Busan I Park the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Jeonnam Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Busan I Park starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Busan I Park have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Jeonnam Dragons have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hwaseong(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yongin City(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hwaseong(home) | 1-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paju Citizen(home) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(home) | 1-0 | K League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Busan I Park win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Jeonnam Dragons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons 3-3 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Busan I Park 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons | K League 2 |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Busan I Park 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons | K League 2 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Busan I Park score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jeonnam Dragons score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan I Park | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Jeonnam Dragons | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Busan I Park sit 5th in K League 2 (38 points from 22 matches) and Jeonnam Dragons sit 16th (16 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Busan I Park | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 38 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?
- The Footlab model makes Busan I Park the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Jeonnam Dragons.
- Where and when is Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons played?
- Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons is played on October 18, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Busan Asiad Main Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.