Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Changwon Football Center, Changwon
The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Gyeongnam FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa?
Asan Mugunghwa starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gyeongnam FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Asan Mugunghwa have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimhae City(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yongin City(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-0 | K League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gyeongnam FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Asan Mugunghwa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Gyeongnam FC | K League 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Gyeongnam FC | K League 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 Gyeongnam FC | K League 2 |
| May 17, 2025 | Gyeongnam FC 1-3 Asan Mugunghwa | K League 2 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 Gyeongnam FC | K League 2 |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Asan Mugunghwa 4-0 Gyeongnam FC | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Asan Mugunghwa vs Gyeongnam FC on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gyeongnam FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Asan Mugunghwa score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyeongnam FC | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Asan Mugunghwa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gyeongnam FC sit 9th in K League 2 (27 points from 22 matches) and Asan Mugunghwa sit 7th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Asan Mugunghwa | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa?
- The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Gyeongnam FC.
- Where and when is Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa played?
- Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Changwon Football Center, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.