Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon
The Footlab model makes Suwon Bluewings the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hwaseong. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Suwon Bluewings (1,725) and Hwaseong (1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suwon Bluewings have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hwaseong have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheonan City(away) | 1-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gimhae City(home) | 1-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 4-1 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Suwon Bluewings win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hwaseong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Hwaseong 1-2 Suwon Bluewings | K League 2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Hwaseong 2-3 Suwon Bluewings | K League 2 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Hwaseong 1-1 Suwon Bluewings | K League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Suwon Bluewings 3-1 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Oct 2, 2019 | Suwon Bluewings 3-0 Hwaseong | FA Cup |
| Sep 18, 2019 | Hwaseong 1-0 Suwon Bluewings | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Suwon Bluewings score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon Bluewings | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Suwon Bluewings sit 1st in K League 2 (44 points from 22 matches) and Hwaseong sit 6th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 44 |
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong?
- The Footlab model makes Suwon Bluewings the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hwaseong.
- Where and when is Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong played?
- Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Suwon World Cup Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.