Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Gimpo Stadium, Gimpo
The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Paju Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Gimpo Citizen (1,684) and Paju Citizen (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimpo Citizen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Paju Citizen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cheonan City(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cheongju(home) | 3-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Gimpo Citizen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Paju Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Paju Citizen 0-1 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Gimpo Citizen 3-1 Paju Citizen | K3 League |
| May 22, 2021 | Paju Citizen 0-1 Gimpo Citizen | K3 League |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Paju Citizen 0-0 Gimpo Citizen | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Paju Citizen vs Gimpo Citizen on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimpo Citizen score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paju Citizen score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo Citizen | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Paju Citizen | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimpo Citizen sit 8th in K League 2 (31 points from 21 matches) and Paju Citizen sit 11th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gimpo Citizen | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 31 |
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Paju Citizen.
- Where and when is Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen played?
- Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Gimpo Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.