Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzód: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzód?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Busko-Zdroj (1,715) and Naprzód (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Busko-Zdroj have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Busko-Zdroj win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Naprzód win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj 0-3 Naprzód | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzód on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busko-Zdroj | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Busko-Zdroj sit 14th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 14 | Busko-Zdroj | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzód?
- The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzód played?
- Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzód is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsStar Starachowice
- Apr 17, 2027Hetman ZamoscvsKSZO 1929
- Apr 17, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsChełmianka Chełm
- Apr 17, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Apr 17, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsWisła Kraków II
- Apr 17, 2027JarosławvsMoravia Morawica
- Apr 17, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Apr 17, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsKorona Kielce II