Match

Naprzód vs Jarosław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów

NaprzódJarosław

The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naprzód vs Jarosław?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Naprzód (1,688) and Jarosław (1,747).

Naprzód win38 %
Draw25 %
Jarosław win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4
Jarosław
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(away)1-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15
Jarosław2.21.7111/1311/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Jarosław5212987
12Naprzód52039136

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Jarosław?
The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Jarosław.
Where and when is Naprzód vs Jarosław played?
Naprzód vs Jarosław is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Naprzód and Jarosław

Ready to know everything about football?